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  1. #1951
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    I'm plowing through some of the stuff I got sent right now and will have a solid update tomorrow.



    That emoticon is 110% appropriate to what I am reading. There is some horrendous s**t going on for the past 2 months.
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  2. #1952
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    Well the latest backs up what I was saying from the get-go... just a couple orders of magnitude larger than I originally thought.

    #1 and #3 have been releasing radioactive xenon as well as massive amounts of I-131 and Cs-137. The xenon is actually more telling than the other two as xenon isotopes are hard, factual evidence of ongoing fission processes. Not "spontaneous fission" as TEPCO has been saying but actual ongoing, open air fission.

    Now when I say open air I do not mean literally in the middle of a field somewhere. The cores have melted through the RPV, primary and secondary containment and are undergoing fission somewhere either in the sub-basements or in the fractured bedrock under the buildings. Now I am going to come down on the corium being in the bedrock as several underground streams IVO Fukushima have been solidly contaminated to the tune of 400,000 bequerels/liter. If the cores were still in either containment structure, or even if it was just hanging out in the basement that kind of ongoing contamination would not be happening.

    Interestingly #5 and #6 have been acting up recently to the point of water outflow being too damn hot to get near. This is in addition to the first 4 reactor's outflow. None of the supposed "closed loop" systems are operating in the manner in which they were designed. There is an ENORMOUS amount of overflow which is being channeled directly into the Pacific through the normal water waste gates. The problem is that this outflow is heavily irradiated and carrying numerous kinds of long lived exotics as well as the familiar cesium and iodine. Even the filtration systems in place are not performing anywhere close to their stated capacity and have simply been overwhelmed by the volume and level of contamination.

    Thermal overlays of the ruined site are still showing hotspots BELOW the RPV locations. I mentioned around 6 months ago that "cold shutdown" was not possible because the cores, like Elvis, had left the building. TEPCO, IAEA and NISA continue to use this term in order to downplay the significance of what has happened at the Fukushima Daiichi plant. The scope of this disaster is beyond anything humankind has witnessed. Total releases of radioisotopes are into the hundreds of thousands of petabequerels. Chernobyl literally is a leaky microwave oven compared to this array.

    There are also issues with the common SFR pool. The filtration system there is malfunctioning and there have been several temperature spikes over the past month. Each spike is evidence of small amounts of the fuel rods doing bad things off by themselves. That's right ladies and gentlemen- the location that houses more fissile material than the combined weight of every single nuclear weapon ever produced (not detonated... produced), is undergoing multiple small fission events. The actual events themselves manage to separate the semi-collapsed rod material to prevent ongoing fission (which is good) but this should not be happening in the first place.

    As a side note- cesium levels in soil on the west coast of the US vary between 4,000 to 10,000 times higher than previous years. While 10,000x is approaching worrisome (short term) and 4,000x is approaching worrisome (long term) because of VERY low thresholds- the levels are climbing daily. Remember this crap bioaccumulates and does NOT go away- at least in our lifetime. The sole source for this cesium is Fukushima. There have also been some rather odd exotics detected in extreme eastern Russia but at the time of the intel dump I got the source of this is unclear.

    The Pacific off the coast of Japan is screwed, blued & tattooed. The sheer mass of radioisotopes being dumped is beyond the scope of my comprehension. They're spilling tons of crap I can hardly pronounce (most ending in "ium") straight into a major oceanic current that runs north, up Japan's east coast, eddies a couple times and then dumps out in the north off the coast of the Kamchatka peninsula. These waters are poisoned. There is no way in HELL I would even think about eating any seafood caught on Japan's east coast.

    TEPCO is fully aware of the sheer magnitude of their failure as well as the essential futility of trying to regain control of the uncontrollable but will not admit what they have done. Internal memos and emails read like a horror story- there is no end in sight using currently available technology. The situation is simply too far gone and has been since a couple weeks into the event. Everything the engineers have tried has failed and they're out of fresh ideas. Everything is a stop-gap measure, just barely keeping the lid on the pressure cooker.

    Strontium in levels 500X the legal limit (not 500% but 500 times) blankets an area 20x the size of Manhattan on Honshu. Water in the #2 reactor is measuring 250,000 Bq/cc of I-131. You read that right- not per liter but per CC. This is also SALT water which is corroding the hell out of everything it touches, the report only mentions iodine but this water is also chock full of radioactive sodium, cesium, exotics and silt.

    NISA and the IAEA in the meantime continue to confound, confuse and obfuscate. Recent internal documents detail the various exotics and xenon as "obvious errors" since they are produced by open air fission and that just can't be happening at Fukushima. It's the same line of crap as "We detected no plutonium" after #3 went high order. Technically that statement is true- they did not detect Pu. They also didn't have any ****ing machines capable of detecting it! Doublespeak has become the new way of disseminating information and the amount of utter bovine scatology going back and forth between these two organizations just blew my mind.

    They are aware that what we have witnessed, and continue to, is the worst man made disaster in the history of the planet. Bar none. Yeah global warming but that may/may not be happening- and this isn't the thread for that discussion. Fukushima is real and we can see the effects. Multiple litters of stillborn, undifferentiated masses of tissue from rabbit, cats & dogs throughout Honshu. Episodes of vomiting and spotting of the skin amongst children in northern Japan, malformed fruits and vegetables, the bioaccumulation of cesium into mammals and fishes, thousands of petabequerels of radioisotopes pumped into the atmosphere and ocean... the list is endless.

    TEPCO is fully aware that they are not going to be able to get control of these reactors and associated spent fuel pools. The IAEA and NISA know this full well, as does our (US) EPA and NRC. You're not going to hear word one about it though. The IAEA and NRC are there to push for MORE nuclear power- they are not regulatory agencies per se but more like PR firms for the industry. There is also a LOT of money flowing about and into coffers both here in the US and abroad.

    There is also some speculation about a fission reaction becoming self-sustaining. The most likely place for this to occur is the common SFR pool, although the corium can possibly take off on it's own versus "chugging". If this happens then Fukushima goes boom in a way we've never seen before. The sheer mass of fissile material available for a nuclear reaction is staggering.

    I think I've touched on the high points and please forgive the delay. There was a STAGGERING amount of info and a good 90% of it was (for my purposes) useless. I've posted the highlights (lowlights really) here. What pisses me off the most is the cozy relationship between the UN's IAEA, the government of Japan, TEPCO and NISA. They're all covering for each other, engaging in lies by omission, painting the turd to look like a bar of gold... but it still SMELLS like **** and I have a damn good nose.

    Going to be spending some additional time digging further and more in depth, hoping to find a few additional nuggets.
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  3. #1953
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    Whoa.

    Does anyone know what the effects will be on Australia, specifically the East Coast? I don't know enough about currents, winds, anything.

    Thanks for the update SFA. Scary sh!t.

  4. #1954
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    Aussies are solidly in the OK column. Oceanic currents flow northward up the east coast of Japan, eddy around and then are transported eastwards across the Pacific. One thing is for sure- I'm not eating any King Crab any time soon!

    I was going through some videos that were bundled into my little package and there's some video of robots working their way through both #1 and #3 that I overlooked earlier.

    The digital recording was so buggered up with gamma strikes it looked like it was snowing and to top it off rad levels exceeded 1 Sv/hr in all internal areas of #3 and up to 8 Sv/hr in some areas of #1. For that amount of activity some serious "iums" have been deposited throughout the structure. Those levels are kill you pretty damn dead kind of high.

    In addition curium-244 has been detected scattered over a wide area around Fukushima. This is a high powered isotope- makes plutonium look like a piker in comparison. It is also 100% man made through fission. This might be the isotope responsible for the NY Times reporter getting a 300 mSv/hr reading while on the official tour.

    Cesium contamination is pretty damn widespread as well, extending past Hokkaido and into the Kamchatka peninsula. Pacific contamination models show some severe plumes stuck in the eddies of the (forget the Japanese name ATM) currents that run northwards up Japan's east coast. I mean SEVERE plumes as in whales are going to be having some funny looking kids next year kind of severe.

    There is a LOT of technical stuff I've gotten that is fairly complex and cross references documents that I may or may not have that I am still digging through.

    Based on some internal TEPCO and NISA documents that I have been able to decipher we're looking at a total release no less that 5x what Chernobyl's was and the whole array is still pumping out all kinds of odd radioisotopes like a steam engine churned out soot. The worst part is that this is nowhere near over. Conservative estimates on containing (not stopping but containing) further releases set a date between January and April of 2014.

    As bad as I thought this incident was a few months ago... it is worse. A lot worse.
    Vpnum snum skala mar velli feti ganga framar
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    - Havamal 38

  5. #1955
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    OK-

    Did some digging on the I-131 in the EU and the most likely cause was a fizzle during the nuclear warhead fitment of an al-Shabab 3 ballistic missile.

    With the saber rattling Iran has been "Damn the torpedoes, full speed ahead" in retrospect to finalizing their weapons for the past 18 months or so. Being that production is rushed it likely lacks safety refinements on western and Russian designs and is more likely based on NK or Paki warheads. This means no thermal proofing and static discharge shielding.

    Keep this in mind and tie it in with MASSIVE explosions at two IRGC bases where the Iranian Revolutionary Guard stores their inventory of non-deployed ballistic missiles.

    Most likely scenario is the IRG and government wanted what warheads they have fitted onto ballistic missiles and dispersed before the US "pullout" of Iraq and subsequent (almost certain) Israeli strike on nuke facilities. Dry desert air produces a LOT of static and these warheads, if based on NK or Paki designs have substandard/no static discharge shielding. A static discharge likely fired the initiators which resulted in partial core compression and a "fizzle" which is basically a fission boosted partial detonation- it turned a nuke into a large dirty bomb basically.

    I pulled some overheads and the damage done was most definitely NOT from an ammo dump (multiple explosions) but from one big boom at a clearly definable point. This seems to support my theory.

    As for it being worrisome- any exposure to radiation isn't good but what is floating about the EU really isn't enough to worry about. Leftovers from Chernobyl still outclass the I-131 being found.
    Vpnum snum skala mar velli feti ganga framar
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  6. #1956
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    There would be more than just iodine detected from that though, right?

    I knew the story about the dump going was BS though.... Figured that was Israel.
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  7. #1957
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    Fresh from the front page of CNN: http://ecocentric.blogs.time.com/201...ima/?hpt=hp_t2
    Of RepGeek, I can only say this: of all the boards I have encountered in my travels, this was the most . . . human.

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    Whew! Thank goodness for that!
    --- In your mailbox, wearing your reps. ---

    My collection - A little of this, a little of that.... always looking to get some more of that as I have too much of this already.

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  9. #1959
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    Quote Originally Posted by normalizer View Post
    There would be more than just iodine detected from that though, right?

    I knew the story about the dump going was BS though.... Figured that was Israel.
    I-131 is the primary byproduct so it would be the most prevalent and easily detected.

    As for the ammo dump story- the locations are not known to be conventional munition storage sites but ballistic missile sites. That in and of itself makes the story hinky. When you add in the size of the explosion and it being a single blast... 2+2 does not equal banana.
    Vpnum snum skala mar velli feti ganga framar
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  10. #1960
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    whats more concerning about fukushima is IF the fallout is more than 5x that of chernobyl, then how are the japanese able to hide all the radiation?
    Chernobyl had a blow-out that spread all the nasties and the russians only admitted the true scale of the disaster after western europe and scandinavia probed.

    If fuku has dumped 5x the radiation, then local radiation would be intolerable. The chinese and russians should be feeling the effects already. Why would they not voice their concerns?

    I've been watching the frozen planet documentary series. Make me wonder how much of this crap is accumulating in the artic ice caps ready for the next melt cycle.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mikey2008 View Post
    whats more concerning about fukushima is IF the fallout is more than 5x that of chernobyl, then how are the japanese able to hide all the radiation?
    Chernobyl had a blow-out that spread all the nasties and the russians only admitted the true scale of the disaster after western europe and scandinavia probed.

    If fuku has dumped 5x the radiation, then local radiation would be intolerable. The chinese and russians should be feeling the effects already. Why would they not voice their concerns?

    I've been watching the frozen planet documentary series. Make me wonder how much of this crap is accumulating in the artic ice caps ready for the next melt cycle.
    It isn't so much that they are hiding it. Mother Nature helped out a LOT.

    The first thing was winds carrying volatile gases and particulates out over the Pacific. The second was rainstorms mid-Pacific. Third was local rains in Japan. Fourth was ocean currents IVO Honshu.

    All of these combined to keep the majority of the nasties essentially out in the middle of nowhere. Increased rad readings in Japan now reflect seasonal wind shifts. Had the original incident happened now instead of in the spring Tokyo would be dead/dying right now.

    As for China and Russia- they did report unusual isotopes and exotics. The exact ones and quantity I posted several months ago. Wind patterns have shifted however and no longer move particulate towards these areas.
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    Meltdowns into cold shutdown? WTF!!


    http://www.nature.com/news/fukushima...hutdown-1.9674

    "16 December 2011

    Today the Japanese government announced that three reactors that suffered meltdowns in early March had officially reached cold shutdown. Perhaps inevitably, many in the press are reporting the announcement as a major milestone in the Fukushima saga. But in truth, cold shutdown will mean very little in any practical sense for what goes on at the plant. Nor is it likely to change the fate of the thousands of evacuees who were forced to leave their homes after the Fukushima crisis.
    .....

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    There's no such thing as a cold shutdown after a meltdown...

    If there was a cold shutdown, there would be no meltdown, plain and simple.


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    Apparently they've started cooling the reactors with water again.

    Anyone got some non-spun news?

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    I'll be doing an update but one thing you won't hear anywhere else is that they are using boronated water.

    #2 is fissioning like mad down past the secondary containment. The corium is crusted over but is cracking and spilling out molten rivulets- the borated water is supposed to poison the reaction and cool the corium at the same time.
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    Happy one year anniversary.

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    Hey gents- been busy as hell lately so I haven't been on much at all.

    Quick update:

    Fuku is still steaming away like the runaway freight train that it is. Fukushima has released radiation equivalent to 190 Hiorshima bombs this year. The jerry rigged cooling systems have been failing almost daily and there have been MASSIVE releases of water contaminated with radionuclides into the sea. Bioaccumulation of cesium in the Pacific is now getting to the point of exponential increase in both contamination levels and species affected.

    The faults in and around Fukushima are still VERY geologically active with numerous 5.5+ quakes since the beginning of the year. Given the precarious state of the #4 SFR pool as well as the threat of another tsunami should the fault suddenly settle, this is a major concern. While there is nothing anyone can do to avoid a quake, precautions need to be taken to shore up the #4 pool and try to remove as much fuel as possible into secure storage. Of course in order to do this the entire damn building would have to be rehabbed and overhauled.

    The simple fact remains that there is no technology existent at this time that can be brought online in time to rectifya total loss of cooling in a BWR. It. Does. Not. Exist.

    While most of my contacts in Japan have moved on to other duties and are no longer in the loop I still get snippets here and there and from everything I have been hearing over the past 6-8 weeks, nothing has really changed since 6 months ago. Honshu has widespread contamination with some localized hotspots being extremely dangerous. The western Pacific is screwed with cesium uptake reaching the point of exponential bioaccumulation levels. Japanese foods and milk are contaminated beyond "acceptable" levels in quite a few areas and most of the radionuclides are those which tend to not leave the body and accumulate in fats and bone.

    R2 is cooking again- temps and pressures rising daily. While R2 has melted through primary and secondary, the containment structure still is intact and this building is the focus of cooling & nitrogen injection trying to stop ongoing fission.

    R3 has left the building. It's core is split between what is happily fissioning away in the bedrock and what was blown across the countryside when it moved skyward with great haste.

    R1 is also out of containment and fissioning in the bedrock under the reator's building.

    R4 is 99 kinds of ****ed up- especially in regards to the stability of the SFR pool and the need for constant cooling (which is producing 9 tons of highly contaminated water per hour) is leading to spills/discharge straight into the Pacific.

    This disaster FAR outclasses Chernobyl no matter which way you look at it. The sole difference is that Chernobyl released a **** ton of contaminants quickly while Fukushima has been releasing a **** ton of contaminants steadily for over a year. While the Japanese have minimized aerosolized particulates, that does not reflect safety. The products of the ongoing fission need to go somewhere. Right now most of that is going into the seas where plankton take it up and are then eaten by larger fish, which are eaten by larger fish.

    I do not think we will ever get the WHOLE story- but I do keep plugging away here and there and snag whatever info I can pry out of people.
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    Thanks for the update mate. Glad to have you back.

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    http://www.japantoday.com/category/n...on-chiba-shore



    move along... nothing to see here...


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